METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
-
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
METHODS
OF VALUATION RURAL - INCOME
METHODS
OF VALUATION
There
are 3 primary methods of valuation which are representative of the 3
major paradigms of value:
- Capitalization
or the income paradigm - for clearly investment properties for example,
feedlots.
- Stock area or
the carrying capacity paradigm - usually used as a check method for 1
and 3. However, in pastoral areas, the primary method.
- Cleared hectare
or the summation paradigm - for properties which are large and not
clearly investment farms. For example, family run properties in the
traditional pursuits of wheat, sheep and cattle.
In
this part we are concerned with the income method of
valuation. This is generally, an unreliable method because of:
- The erratic
nature of primary produce markets, particularly those dependent upon
overseas markets.
- The problem of average
or typical management. It is
common for a number of properties within the same locality to have
different management and development policies.
PRIMARY
AND SECONDARY METHODS OF VALUATION
All
valuations should consist of at least two methods; the primary and
secondary methods. The primary is that method which is most suitable
for the particular land use and the secondary method is a check on
the primary method. If the secondary method is reasonably close to
the primary method then the primary method is accepted. The valuer
never
averages the two.
If
the secondary method is a long way from the value obtained with the
primary method then the valuer should investigate the reasons for the
discrepancy. It would generally, indicate a conceptual problem with
the primary method.
EXAMPLE
A
dairy farm is valued using the income method at $1 000 000. However,
the secondary summation method indicates a value of $5 000 000. Upon
investigation it is found that the land is near an expanding regional
centre and suitable for subdivision into rural allotments. Therefore,
the secondary method has alerted the valuer to the fact that the
"highest and best" use is not as a dairy but rather, hobby
farms.
THE
ERRATIC NATURE OF PRIMARY PRODUCTION
Compared
with most other land uses forecasting of the expected income of rural
properties is most difficult. This is because produce market prices
are not steady and vary greatly according to:
- Climatic
factors both overseas and in Australia. For example, a major
determinant of the world's price of wheat is the success or not, of the
Russian wheat crop.
- Economic and
political policies of overseas competitors in regard to their own rural
markets. For example, the dumping of wheat by the USA and the
protectionist policies of the EEC.
- The degree of
protection of the Australian producer. For example, the use of
marketing boards and a guaranteed price for the product. The income
from some "protected" land uses can be forecasted with reasonable
certainty. For example, the expected income from dairy farms within a
"milk zone" who sell their quota to the local milk producing plant. The
value of such a farm is almost wholly a function of the quota and in
such a case the capitalization method may be used as the forecasted
cash flow is reasonably certain. Other protectionist measures may also
make the forecast of future income more reliable. For example, the use
of government bodies which guarantee the price of the product such as
wheat and barley.
THE
PROBLEM OF AVERAGE MANAGEMENT
The
income paradigm assumes that the expected net annual income to be
derived from the property in the future is that achievable under
"average" or "indifferent" management.
Therefore,
if the subject property has above average management, the expected
income should be less than the current income and if the subject
property has below average management, the expected income should be
more than the current income. This is how a potential purchaser of
the property would see the investment.
ASCERTAINING
THE QUALITY OF MANAGEMENT
The
following factors can be used by the valuer to judge existing
management. They are the qualities of good management and which
should be average management. The farmer should have:
- Long term plans
for example, 5-10 years. If so are they reasonable?
- Short term
plans for example, 1 year
- Financial
and/or physical plans.
The
farmer should:
1.
Monitor and control the following:
Finance
- budgets
Crops,
cereals, horticultural
Markets
Inputs.
2.
Engage in research and development:
On
farm and/or off farm
Read
and use trade papers/ departmental brochures
Go
to trials, field days, research journals etc
3.
Engage outside assessment:
Use
consultants
Regular
health checks
4.
Check:
His/her
health
Physical
factors - disabilities, age, equipment
Mental
factors- stability, alert to new ideas etc
Addiction,
drugs, golf, alcohol
5.
Evaluate the resource health/condition of:
Livestock
Equipment
Land
- pests, weeds, fertility, erosion, pasture
Improvements
6.
Evaluate the following performance standards:
Is
the farmer living within means?
Appropriate
for overall situation?
Reinvestment
in capital/stock.
FACTORS
USED BY BANKS IN ASSESSING RURAL LOANS
- Personal factors
- Ability to repay
- Security
(collateral)
- Purpose of the
loan
- Amount and term
of loan
- Collateral
advantage - new accounts etc.
QUALITY
OF MANAGEMENT
The
farmer should be evaluated in general and specific that is, at both
micro and macro levels, according to the following:
- Aims and
objectives of the farmer
- Why farming?
Why the current location? Where will he/she be in 5, 10 years time?
- Are there
physical and financial plans to indicate how they will meet these
aims/objectives in both the short and long terms?
- Do they know
where their true position at this point in time?
- Financial,
physical and knowledge stock
- Has finance
performance been to budget?
- Crops - crop
measurement, inspection
- Livestock
measure for example, lambing %, death rates and calving ratios.
- Market and
market methods - alternatives, "lockin" prices and market trends
- Futures
investment
- Inputs -
quality, alternatives and prices.
See
gross margins
NET
ANNUAL INCOME
As
mentioned, Gross Margins does not take into account fixed expenses
and therefore, does not represent the net return to the rural
operator. To calculate the net return it is necessary to deduct from
the Gross Margin the estimated fixed costs. The fixed costs to take
into account are property insurances, property taxes and the rental
value of
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
10
plant/machinery.
Some
analysts include owner's or management reward but there is no need
for this. It simplifies the concept when the owner is considered as
an investor and the total reward to himself/herself is evaluated on
the basis of whether or not it is sufficient return on investment
compared with opportunity cost investments. On large company owned
properties
the manager's income will be part of the normal cost against labour
ie as part of the variable costs. The variable labour costs also
include worker's compensation.
Applying
opportunity costs of investment to the land and machinery, the rental
value is the better measure of annual cost than loss of interest. The
rental value of machinery fully takes into account opportunity cost
of investment and the depreciation rate. The rental value of land is
a more difficult concept and should be offset by any betterment or
capital gains. In an expanding economy it may well be determined that
capital
gains is more than the annual rental value and therefore, this fixed
cost can be ignored.
In
any case, if sales are analyzed ignoring the fixed cost of land, the
resultant and specialized capitalization rate can be used instead.
Therefore, if the valuer foresees capital gains in the immediate
future, the fixed cost of land can be ignored in the analysis. This
is the assumption for the determination of market value below:
- The advantage
of ignoring the land component is that the use of gross margins is
solely
- concerned with
agricultural viabiity and the analysis is not distorted by urban
influences.
- Whether or not
the urban influence is such that agriculture is not the highest
and best
- use,
canl be revealed by use of the secondary (cleared hectare) method of
valuation.
DETERMINING
NET ANNUAL INCOME
The
net annual income for the above examples of gross margin can be found
as follows:
TABLE NET ANNUAL
INCOME
|
WHEAT
|
BARLEY
|
MERINO
|
POULTRY
|
PIGGERY
|
DAIRY |
|
/ha |
/ha
|
/dse
|
/mixed
bird
|
/sow |
/dse |
GROSS MARGIN: |
98.82 |
74.47
|
20.81
|
3.46
|
614.00
|
31.00 |
FIXED
COSTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Insurance
|
(0.90) |
(1.00)
|
(0.40)
|
(0.10)
|
(15.00)
|
(0.10) |
Property Taxes
|
(1.50)
|
(1.80)
|
(0.70)
|
(0.30)
|
(50.00) |
(0.35) |
Rent
plant/ machinery
|
(4.50)
|
(3.60) |
(2.40) |
(1.20)
|
(95.00)
|
(0.80) |
NET
ANNUAL
INCOME:
|
91.92
|
68.07
|
17.31
|
1.86
|
454
|
29.75 |
MARKET
VALUE
Once
the net annual income is found it is capitalized at an appropriate
rate of interest to find the market value. The appropriate rate of
interest is found by analyzing sales of comparable properties but is
determined by the riskiness of the enterprise. It is a specialist
rate which cannot be used for other than the valuation of comparable
rural lands. It is not a full measure of return on investment as it
is capitalizes the initial yield
income
only.
The
capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
Where:
MV = market value
AI
= net annual inome
CR
= net capitalisation rate
ANALYZING
RURAL SALES FOR THE CAPITALIZATION RATE
When
rural sales are analysed for a net capitalization or discount rate,
that rate generally, is comparatively low. This is because:
- The farmer
expects high capital gains in land value largely through some urban
influence, for example, a demand for the hobby farms
- Primary
production enjoys certain income tax advantages particularly for
professional income earners who wish to offset their high urban income
with the comparatively low returns and losses from farming.
- The ability to
use produce from their land or day to day living.
NET
CAPITALIZATION RATE
The
capitalization method assumes that the market value of a rural
property is the present value of all the expected future income and
benefits to be derived from owning that property in perpetuity.
The
capitalization rate is the net capitalization rate,
as the annual income which is used in the capitalization formula is
the net annual income. The capitalization formula is:
MV
= AI * 100/CR
The
above formula is used to analyze the net capitalisation rate from
sales:
CR
= AI/SP * 100
Where:
CR
= capitalization rate as a percentage
AI
= annual net income
SP
= sale price
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE
After
the capitalized value of the property is found it is still necessary
to add the value of improvements which do not directly contribute to
the net income. This is normally the value of the homestead and other
domestic buildings. The value of domestic buildings is in inverse
proportion to distance from the nearest urban centre. For example, a
house on a dairy farm on the outskirts of town will approximate the
value of an equivalent house in the town boundaries.
CAPITALIZATION
OF MARKET RENTS
The
income approach so far has only considered the direct income from
production to the rural operator. However, a better income method if
available, is the capitalization of net rental value of the property.
In practice this method is rarely used because of the
dearth
of rents of rural properties particularly large rural properties.
Often the method of licensed occupation is share farming but this is
not particularly useful from a valuation point of view because it is
really, an income approach and therefore the net annual returns may
as well be used and because of the personal nature of a share farming
agreement.
However,
if rural rents are available, they are a better measure of annual
value than the income method because they do not include as many
variables and therefore, there is less error in its determination.
DETERMINING
MARKET VALUE RENTS
In
determining the market rent of a crown tenure all those factors
applicable to a lump sum valuation are considered plus those factors
particular to the crown tenure. For pastoral properties in the arid
regions there are few sales and rents. Therefore, where there is a
dearth of comparable sales or rents, comparison will have to be made
with arid
regions
in other states or difficult adjustments made from nearby freehold
properties in the central region.
EXAMPLE
When
determining the market rents of pastoral leases, crown controls on
use are taken into account. The market rent of pastoral lease is
determined almost entirely by the carrying capacity of the subject
property. The carrying capacity is found by:
- Determining the
carrying capacity of the land, assuming no controls
- Determining the
average number of stock carried over the last 5 years
- Determining the
current carrying capacity under crown controls.
Invariably,
the first factor will be higher than the second factor but if the
second factor is more than the third then, that should be the
carrying capacity used. The crown rent is for the land only as the
improvements belong to the lessee. The value of improvements can be
found by analyzing sales of comparable properties, even those
interstate and on
freehold
lands.
THE
MAXIMUM RENT
The
maximum rent payable is set out in the relevant legislation. For
example, for pastoral leases in South Australia the maximum rent is:
- A starting rent
of 80c per sheep and 2.40 per head of cattle; and then;
- A maximum
increase at the CPI + 10% each year.
The
assessment is based on:
- A 20 year
average stocking level; or
- The current
stock numbers from the stock return as at 30 April whichever provides
the lesser rental value.
VALUATION
PRINCIPLES
The
valuer looks at rents of comparable properties. Commonly, direct
rents are not available and the best evidence is derived from
subleases. These are adjusted for the rental value of the
improvements by discounting (for example, about 9%) the market value
of the improvements. The residue is the market rental value for the
land.
PASTORAL
LEASE EXAMPLE
Two
subleases in the pastoral zone of South Australia were analysed
showing a gross rental value of $9-10/sheep. Interstate evidence
shows subleases of about $4.6-12/sheep and 5.85-12/sheep. The
following are typical benchmark rental values adopted by the
Department of Lands in South Australia:
BENCHMARK
PROPERTIES
TABLE REGIONAL
BENCHMARK RENTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA
Cattle
country outside the dog fence: 2.80/head
Gawler
ranges .54/sheep
North
east country .65/sheep
North
west country .53/sheep
Flinders
ranges .58/sheep
In
analysing sales for rental evidence of the land a rental rate of 9%
on improvements was used. Gross rents (land plus improvements) were
between 5-7/sheep. When comparing a subject property to the rental
evidence available, the following valuation factors were taken into
account:
PRODUCTIVITY
DISABILITIES – PASTORAL LEASES
- Lease area -
square kilometres
- Distance from
markets
- Maximum
allowable stocking
- Freight costs
- Rated stocking
- Lack of
permanent water
- Average stocking
- Poor quality
water
- Average
carrying capacity
- Poor location
of water (animal per square kilometre)
- Poor
distribution of water
- Average bales
produced
- Animal pests
- Bales per
square kilometre
- Plant pests
- Average rainfall
- Mustering
problems
Other
factors for example, the dog fence. When the market rental is
determined it is compared to the maximum rental allowed under the
Act.
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